Program
| Overview (pdf) | Program Outline |
→ Please click on the title to the see the abstract (if available).
| Sunday, January 24 | |
| 18:00 - 20:00 | Registration |
| 19:00 - 21:00 | Welcome reception |
| Monday, January 25 | |
| 08:45 - 09:00 | Roderich Moessner (Managing Director MPIPKS) & Scientific coordinators |
| Opening | |
| 09:00 - 09:45 | Francesco Ginelli (CNRS Paris) |
| Characterizing nonlinear dynamics with covariant Lyapunov vectors | |
| 09:50 - 10:35 | Günter Radons (Chemnitz University of Technology) |
| Lyapunov modes in extended dynamical systems | |
| 10:40 - 11:10 | Coffee break |
| 11:10 - 11:55 | Brian Hunt (University of Maryland) |
| Ensemble methods and data assimilation | |
| 12:00 - 12:45 | Olivier Talagrand (ENS Paris) |
| Predictability and assimilation of observations in chaotic systems | |
| 12:50 - 14:30 | Lunch break |
| 14:30 - 15:00 | Miki Kobayashi (Kyoto University) |
| Mechanism of a temporal intermittency in the GOY shell model turbulence | |
| 15:00 - 15:30 | Pavel Kuptsov (Saratov State Law Academy) |
| Hyperbolic chaos in extended systems constructed of elements with hyperbolic dynamics | |
| 15:30 - 16:00 | Yoshitaka Saiki (Kyoto University) |
| Analysis of nonhyperbolicity of the Lorenz system through periodic orbits | |
| 16:00 - 16:30 | Coffee break |
| 16:30 - 17:30 | ECODYC10 Colloquium: (Chairperson: Holger Kantz) |
| Eugenia Kalnay (University of Maryland) | |
| Use of breeding to find the physical causes of instabilities | |
| 18:00 - 19:30 | Supper |
| 19:30 - 21:30 |
Poster session I |
| (with wine and beer) | |
| Tuesday, January 26 | |
| 09:00 - 09:45 | Víctor Homar Santaner (University of the Balearic Islands) |
| Short-range dynamical probabilistic prediction of extreme atmospheric events | |
| 09:50 - 10:35 | Roger Samelson (Oregon State University) |
| Lyapunov vectors for large systems | |
| 10:40 - 11:10 | Coffee break |
| 11:10 - 11:55 | Harald Posch (University of Vienna) |
| Lyapunov instability of hard-particle systems | |
| 12:00 - 12:45 | Gary Morriss (University of New South Wales) |
| Lyapunov modes and localization for hard-particle system | |
| 12:50 - 14:30 | Lunch break |
| 14:30 - 15:00 | Jürgen Vollmer (MPI Dynamics and Self-Organization) |
| Lifetimes and Lyapunov modes of a coupled-map lattice model for turbulent pipe flow | |
| 15:00 - 15:30 | Valerio Lucarini (University of Reading) |
| Evidence of dispersion relations for the nonlinear response of the Lorenz 63 system | |
| 15:30 - 16:00 | Ulrike Feudel (University Oldenburg) |
| The interplay of hydrodynamics and plankton growth in the wake of an island | |
| 16:00 - 16:30 | Coffee break |
| 16:30 - 17:15 | Leonard Smith (London School of Economics and Political Science) |
| Evaluating high dimensional models given only a few observations: Anomalies, re-analyses and reality | |
| 17:20 - 17:50 | Cristina Primo (DWD Offenbach) |
| Comparison of initial perturbation methods using the MVL diagram | |
| 17:50 - 18:20 | Marcus Werner Beims (Federal University of Paraná) |
| Detecting focusing motion in nonintegrable Hamiltonian system | |
| 18:30 - 19:30 | Supper |
| 20:00 - 21:30 |
Poster session II |
| (with wine and beer) | |
| Wednesday, January 27 | |
| 09:00 - 09:45 | Henk Dijkstra (Utrecht University) |
| A nonlinear theory of the bimodality of the Kuroshio extension | |
| 09:50 - 10:35 | Bernard Legras (ENS Paris) |
| Lyapunov diffusivity for atmospheric shear dominated flows | |
| 10:40 - 11:10 | Coffee break |
| 11:10 - 11:55 | Istvan Szunyogh (Texas A&M University) |
| A toolkit to predict the utility of ensemble based forecasts of high-dimensional chaotic systems | |
| 12:00 - 12:45 | Zoltan Toth (NOAA Boulder) |
| Application of Lyapunov vectors in complex nonlinear systems | |
| 12:50 - 14:30 | Lunch break |
| 14:30 - 15:00 | Michael Siek (UNESCO-IHE Delft) |
| Predicting storm surges: Multi-models, computational intelligence, chaos, uncertainty | |
| 15:00 - 15:30 | Ana Maria Mancho (CSIC Madrid) |
| Generalizing dynamical systems concepts for time dependent flows | |
| 15:30 - 16:00 | Alberto Carrassi (Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium) |
| Accounting for model error in data assimilation | |
| 16:00 - 16:30 | Coffee break |
| 16:30 - 17:15 | Klaus Fraedrich (University of Hamburg) |
| Continuum climate variability: Long-term memory, extremes, and predictability | |
| 17:20 - 18:05 | Sebastian Reich (University of Potsdam) |
| Data assimilation using continuous ensemble Kalman filters | |
| 18:30 - 19:30 | Supper |
| 20:00 |
Discussion round |
| Thursday, January 28 | |
| 09:00 - 09:45 | Eugenia Kalnay (University of Maryland) |
| Relationship between Bred vectors, singular vectors, ensemble Kalman filter and 4D-Var | |
| 09:50 - 10:35 | Diego Pazó (CSIC Santander) |
| Analysis of Lyapunov-like vectors (singular, bred and characteristic) for ensemble forecast. Spatio-temporal MVL-analysis. | |
| 10:40 - 11:10 | Coffee break |
| 11:10 - 11:55 | Martin Leutbecher (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) |
| The ECMWF ensemble prediction system: Design, diagnosis and developments | |
| 12:00 - 12:45 | Ronald Errico (NASA Greenbelt) |
| Atmospheric predictability: Some aspects we have recently learned and other aspects awaiting our investigation | |
| 12:50 | Lunch |
| 14:00 |
Excursion and workshop dinner |
| (further details soon) | |
| Friday, January 29 | |
| 09:00 - 09:45 | Emilio Hernández-García (CSIC and University of the Balearic Islands) |
| Stretching fields and lines from finite-size Lyapunov exponents: Ocean transport and biological impact | |
| 09:50 - 10:35 | Leonid Bunimovich (Georgia Institute of Technology) |
| Isospectral networks reduction | |
| 10:40 - 11:10 | Coffee break |
| 11:10 - 11:40 | François-Xavier Le Dimet (Université de Grenoble & INRIA) |
| Error propagation and data assimilation | |
| 11:40 - 12:10 | Jochen Bröcker (MPIPKS Dresden) |
| Accounting for model error in variational data assimilation | |
| 12:10 - 12:40 | Renate Wackerbauer (University of Alaska Fairbanks) |
| Transient spatiotemporal chaos | |
| 12:40 - 14:30 | Lunch break |
| 14:30 - 15:15 | José Manuel Gutiérrez (CSIC Santander) |
| Spatiotemporal MVL analysis of ensemble prediction systems: Application to the DEMETER multimodel seasonal predictions | |
| 15:20 - 16:05 | Sergey Kuznetsov (Kotel'nikov Institute of Radio Engineering and Electronics, Saratov) |
| Approaches to design of realizable systems with structurally stable chaotic attractors | |
| 16:10 | Closing and coffee |
Last update: 22/01/2010
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